William Data Insights

Institutional Pre-Match Quant Intelligence

See the fair 1X2 before tip culture does — then unlock the desk.

Free: fusion bands. Pro: ANCHOR picks, λ/μ, scorelines — frozen T−60m.

 
 
T−60m publish SLA READ-ONLY distribution L2→L1 stack · Copula pricing

League-first coverage

Premier League and expanding European slate from local publish artifacts. Sparse desks stay labeled as such — not PL-grade ROI narrative.

Publisher-verified batch

Every report is saved before kickoff. Immutable, read-only distribution with full audit trail per publication.

Preview free, unlock on demand

Free shows 1X2 bands and track presence. Scorelines, narrative, tri-track picks, and λ/μ unlock on Pro.

Five big-five desks with local season tables. Tap a card for standings and coverage notes.

L2 · FUNDAMENTALS

Geo / SKILL · xGF only

Geo-kinetic priors and optional XGBoost residuals feed attack/defense expected goals. L2 never prices 1X2 — it only supplies xGF / xGA into the match input.

L1 · PRICING

Frank Copula · COM-Poisson · IPF

Joint scorelines, asymmetric tails, and soft market-margin anchoring. L1 owns λ/μ, 1X2 probabilities, and EV — physics plus Copula, not a black-box classifier.

LAYER A · TRACKS

ANCHOR · ALPHA · ROCKET

ANCHOR is the production spine; ALPHA and ROCKET stay visible as research tracks with different volatility — confidence stars are an index, not a stake %.

Read full methodology

Explanatory surface only — this site does not run the engine. XGBoost enhances fundamentals, never replaces Copula pricing.

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